World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfbc44849fd71f562bc324ba3a1d597e3f9db07ea53b3ffebca7572830ddcc3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 43c | 1,289$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.31 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 33c | 660.22$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.06 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 58c | 567.12$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 509.22$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 4c | 450$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 39c | 421.88$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 333.63$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 51c | 317.87$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 294$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.56 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 26c | 276.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 30c | 269.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 43c | 255.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 56c | 235.05$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 223$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 23c | 217.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 203.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 38c | 200.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 75c | 199$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 189.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 37c | 172.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 164.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 42c | 161.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 36c | 140.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 139.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 37c | 130.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 43c | 123.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 38c | 123$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 41c | 117.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 108.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed No | 11c | 105.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 98.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 72c | 95.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 58c | 94.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…7153backed No | 58c | 91.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 68c | 90.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 88.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 60c | 85.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…7429backed Yes | 44c | 83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed No | 71c | 80.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 71c | 76.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 62c | 76.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 38c | 74.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e5…c08fbacked Yes | 34c | 73.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 70.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 79c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 68c | 60.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 57c | 59.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 39c | 57.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 25c | 52.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 42c | 50.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…85a1backed Yes | 27c | 50.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…ca4abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 49.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 28c | 49.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 48.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 47c | 46.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 45c | 46.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 61c | 40.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 43c | 40.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 41c | 38.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 62c | 36.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 40c | 35.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 48c | 35.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 34.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 51c | 33.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 52c | 32.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 61c | 32.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 61c | 30.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…1ffabacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 67c | 29.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 38c | 29.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 28.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 40c | 28.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 42c | 27.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 52c | 25.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…ceeebacked No | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…8c6dbacked No | 70c | 24.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 69c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.