Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9cf57d432afd9de1720e07b726c450686f94bb25c08a18e9795ebf89e1d67b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 60c | 1,301$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.43 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 32c | 954.54$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.94 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 36c | 577.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 43c | 555.24$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.24 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 546.4$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 40c | 499.47$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 37c | 499.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe18…3980backed Yes | 40c | 375.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 28c | 333.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 30c | 329.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 69c | 325$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 317$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 312.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 311$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 40c | 293.45$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7544backed Yes | 32c | 286.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 278.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 262.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 52c | 252.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 244.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 59c | 240.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 25c | 237.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…5f1bbacked No | 56c | 225.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 23c | 219.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 66c | 192.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 192.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 51c | 192.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…9145backed Yes | 9c | 180.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 85 | 9.4%8 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 68c | 176.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 69c | 176$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 170.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 63c | 160.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 34c | 157.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 61c | 157.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 154.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 41c | 145.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 136.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 59c | 132.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 128.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 37c | 126.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 123.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 123.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 123.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…6656backed Yes | 42c | 122.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 64c | 122.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 58c | 117.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 67c | 116.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 49c | 114.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 67c | 112.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 43c | 110.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 40c | 107.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…2c83backed Yes | 48c | 104.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…f1dabacked Yes | 31c | 103.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 53c | 102.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes | 33c | 99.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 153 | 28.1%43 W · 110 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 31c | 97.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 97.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fe00backed Yes | 47c | 92.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 60c | 89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 20c | 87.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 68c | 87.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 47c | 81.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 68c | 79.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 30c | 79.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 77.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 50c | 76.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…fbe4backed Yes | 24c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 47c | 73.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…3525backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 56c | 70.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…6efbbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…739abacked No | 53c | 66.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 40c | 65.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 41c | 65.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 61c | 63.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…33cabacked Yes | 33c | 63.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 57c | 63.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked No | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 40c | 60.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 53c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 25c | 55.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d8…ccf3backed Yes | 54c | 55.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 46c | 54.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 42c | 54.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 44c | 53.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.