Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0fba2438cdfe24394465c7bb81817e14fc70c1d4a7f7d032ce15e76604b2d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 2c | 1,304$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 23c | 1,067$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.83 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 8c | 687.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 15c | 630.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 9c | 570.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 80c | 559.56$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 34c | 553.17$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.61 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 32c | 499.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 32c | 496.48$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 15c | 475.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 390.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 366$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 355.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 21c | 322.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90cf…01acbacked Yes | 32c | 311.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 287.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 71c | 285$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 71c | 281$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 278.2$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 15c | 276.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 28c | 253.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 253.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 12c | 241.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 32c | 223.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 37c | 217.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…3fcebacked No | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 68c | 202.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 18c | 166.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 10c | 165.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 71c | 157.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 74c | 143.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…6efbbacked Yes | 38c | 138$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 66c | 137.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…3eddbacked Yes | 31c | 137.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 136.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…beb0backed No | 74c | 135.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 28c | 133.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 29c | 129.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 121.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 19c | 116.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 112.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 28c | 108.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…28d5backed No | 79c | 107.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 28c | 105.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…f1dabacked Yes | 29c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 25c | 100.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…945ebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 97.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 69c | 86.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 28c | 77.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 69c | 71.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 18c | 70.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 23c | 69.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 30c | 67.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed No | 74c | 66.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 66.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fe00backed Yes | 31c | 64.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked No | 74c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…096fbacked No | 66c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 52.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 22c | 51.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 65c | 50.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…4c96backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 62c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…b6a4backed No | 73c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 30c | 35.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 33c | 35.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 31c | 32.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…6b9fbacked Yes | 32c | 32.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 62c | 31.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…745bbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 30.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…a453backed No | 67c | 29.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 71c | 29.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 36c | 27.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 69c | 27.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 74c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 74c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…3144backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…f41bbacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 286 | 60.8%174 W · 112 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.