NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-10.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4aec296a4bca2a259aacb77b7840a7fb6d3d1e85df0ff7ba2ce310d00fbb6c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Raptors, Jazz
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $467,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $471,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,450 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Raptors	50c	147,773$73,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,886.46	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz	50c	130,681$65,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65,340.52	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz	51c	81,428$41,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,899.83	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Raptors	51c	67,307$34,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,072.91	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Raptors	49c	49,996$24,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,497.9	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz	50c	49,629$24,621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,008.3	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors	48c	26,000$12,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,510	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,599.93	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz	52c	18,945$9,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,166.86	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz	49c	17,292$8,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,842.32	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Raptors	52c	15,880$8,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,257.5	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe36b…26f4backed Raptors	52c	13,269$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,900	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.38per pick	52cpaid	-72%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6767…d905backed Raptors	51c	10,579$5,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,436	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Raptors	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Raptors	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Raptors	52c	8,104$4,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,175.52	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Raptors	51c	7,698$3,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,905.25	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	51c	6,479$3,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,178.03	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Raptors	50c	5,544$2,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,782.5	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors	51c	4,989$2,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,554.08	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Raptors	47c	4,855$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,281.72	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors	50c	4,645$2,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,321.01	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Raptors	49c	3,500$1,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,715	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Raptors	49c	3,333$1,633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633.17	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Jazz	53c	2,830$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.19	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Raptors	52c	2,778$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.4	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	48c	2,342$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.88	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors	52c	2,130$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,107.6	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Jazz	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	120	51.7%62 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Raptors	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Jazz	50c	1,880$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Raptors	49c	1,788$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.73	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz	50c	1,734$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.78	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Raptors	49c	1,705$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.68	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors	48c	1,695$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.16	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Raptors	50c	1,424$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Raptors	49c	1,402$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Raptors	49c	1,224$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Jazz	49c	1,100$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Jazz	53c	1,066$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.04	157	56.7%89 W · 68 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Raptors	49c	773.47$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379	182	41.2%75 W · 107 L	-17.6wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Jazz	53c	679.25$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.25	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Jazz	53c	565.14$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.55	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors	52c	564.51$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.5	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors	50c	520.79$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.4	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Raptors	52c	511.87$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.04	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Jazz	52c	505.05$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.14	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Raptors	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Raptors	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2745…a5fbbacked Jazz	53c	466.96$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.47	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz	49c	448$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.48	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Jazz	52c	430$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.4	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Raptors	48c	412.5$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Raptors	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Jazz	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Raptors	50c	371.36$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.68	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Jazz	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Jazz	49c	319$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.69	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Raptors	52c	307.69$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Jazz	50c	301.36$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.64	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Raptors	51c	279.35$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.47	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Raptors	50c	258.79$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.4	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Jazz	51c	250$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.5	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Raptors	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Jazz	52c	206.89$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.31	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Raptors	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Raptors	49c	199.99$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Jazz	53c	199.99$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Jazz	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Jazz	53c	189.51$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.07	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Jazz	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	86	59.3%51 W · 35 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab8…b5a6backed Jazz	53c	186.77$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.78	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0486…fbc2backed Jazz	53c	181.49$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.14	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Jazz	51c	180$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.2	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors	49c	178$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.22	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Raptors	48c	163.5$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.48	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Raptors	49c	150$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	233	50.6%118 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Raptors	54c	129.63$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9bd…8469backed Raptors	48c	125$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Raptors	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Jazz	52c	115.52$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.17	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	48c	108.41$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.24	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Jazz	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	260	44.6%116 W · 144 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Jazz	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Jazz	47c	99.99$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.96	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz	53c	98.1$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.11	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Jazz	51c	94.85$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.19	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Jazz	39c	92.3$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.3	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Raptors	48c	83.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-5.1wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Raptors	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	116	51.7%60 W · 56 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f7…0effbacked Jazz	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Jazz	52c	70$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Raptors	49c	66.66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.66	311	55%171 W · 140 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Jazz	50c	66.2$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Jazz	50c	66.2$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Raptors	52c	65.38$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Raptors (-10.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event