TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 146.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$782,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$796,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c604,237$302,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,099.0735945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under50c200,001$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,000.429860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c150,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,00069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under50c75,000$37,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,25021262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under50c75,000$37,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,5009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over50c70,000$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0004047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under50c62,601$31,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,300.6121754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c25,202$12,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,598.731,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5003756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under51c13,100$6,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4198747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00010441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under50c11,111$5,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,555.513154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c9,255$4,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,627.5690645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.978946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over50c6,730$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,364.893063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4505843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4505160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under51c2,556$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25311555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c2,195$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.2212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Over50c2,070$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0356144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c2,026$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.595,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c1,738$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.244,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under51c1,503$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.3916954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6155749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Under51c750$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.54055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under51c647.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0618650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under51c529.41$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4179448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Under51c509.8$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.813247%62 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under51c473.37$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.959543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Over50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.163158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under51c362.75$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.759551.6%49 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1475139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+106.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over9c281.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.223,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over50c235.29$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.659440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0850546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Under51c189.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.724955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under64c187.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.985959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8615447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.519848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under50c144.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3612341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Over50c121.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.587450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under51c120.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.268750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under51c120.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.115151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Under51c119.41$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.512147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Over50c104.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.113348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4915156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042075%15 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1519446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under51c96.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.115950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c80.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.44,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.431442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under51c77.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8311159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under51c76.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7210049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under51c60.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6119657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under51c60.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6118656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d8…111ebacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8223754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.827846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d81…20c3backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over50c53.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.697251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.513046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b1…3b54backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Under51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x656b…afbcbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.157957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Under51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.332766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8755…e152backed Over50c31.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.872245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa254…3be3backed Under64c31.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6109…48bcbacked Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Over50c28.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf837…8b61backed Under51c28.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.891573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2312054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5084…40a4backed Over50c26.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.242748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.256653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab3…35f3backed Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.253860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over50c21.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.