Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4704c38c36e95fbe32eade78abdbc50c68536d800800065a8f578bb39a409c10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Towson Tigersof Towson Tigers, Elon Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix | 23c | 1,191$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.19 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Towson Tigers | 59c | 1,172$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.55 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Towson Tigers | 44c | 1,171$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.81 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Elon Phoenix | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elon Phoenix | 34c | 897.27$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Towson Tigers | 76c | 805.32$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Elon Phoenix | 54c | 773.86$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.89 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Towson Tigers | 46c | 700.63$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.63 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Towson Tigers | 44c | 659.09$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.09 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Towson Tigers | 78c | 620.52$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Elon Phoenix | 56c | 606.24$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Elon Phoenix | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Towson Tigers | 44c | 319.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Elon Phoenix | 59c | 259$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Towson Tigers | 70c | 240.18$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Towson Tigers | 60c | 226.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Towson Tigers | 68c | 212.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elon Phoenix | 14c | 208.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Elon Phoenix | 31c | 208$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Towson Tigers | 42c | 166.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Towson Tigers | 79c | 152.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 146.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Elon Phoenix | 39c | 140.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Elon Phoenix | 38c | 127$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Elon Phoenix | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Elon Phoenix | 30c | 106$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Elon Phoenix | 63c | 77.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Towson Tigers | 44c | 75.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Elon Phoenix | 32c | 75.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Towson Tigers | 38c | 74.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Elon Phoenix | 55c | 73.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Towson Tigers | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Towson Tigers | 57c | 57.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Towson Tigers | 57c | 52.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Towson Tigers | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Towson Tigers | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Towson Tigers | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Towson Tigers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Towson Tigers | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…c634backed Elon Phoenix | 56c | 35.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3922…18b0backed Elon Phoenix | 55c | 26.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac05…a255backed Towson Tigers | 45c | 26.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Towson Tigers | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…c593backed Towson Tigers | 46c | 21.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenixthis page
- Spread: Elon Phoenix (-2.5)Towson Tigers won
- Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 145.5Under won
- Towson Tigers vs. Elon Phoenix: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.