TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Troy Trojans (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Old Dominion Monarchsof Troy Trojans, Old Dominion Monarchs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$685,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$687,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Troy Trojans49c557,210$271,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,480.4735945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Old Dominion Monarchs51c250,000$127,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,5009860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Old Dominion Monarchs51c122,844$62,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,193.7821754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c120,000$62,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,60069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs51c103,224$52,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,579.619050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Troy Trojans49c69,000$33,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,809.22646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9723…77d8backed Troy Trojans47c30,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c16,112$8,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,534.581,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.998946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Troy Trojans48c12,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,759.7210441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs56c8,956$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.9612754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c4,009$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.325,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs51c2,858$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.774,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Troy Trojans49c2,835$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.866144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.1921248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Troy Trojans48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.956445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Troy Trojans42c1,410$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.132,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs54c1,116$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.5425556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Old Dominion Monarchs54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46011347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Troy Trojans44c973.13$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Troy Trojans48c899.94$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.972948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32955749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c660$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Troy Trojans48c419.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.983941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3611354.9%62 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Old Dominion Monarchs68c324.14$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.145959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…fb30backed Troy Trojans48c316.56$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Old Dominion Monarchs54c279.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.523951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12089146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs57c245.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.715560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Troy Trojans49c235.1$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.29440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Old Dominion Monarchs55c228.44$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.839744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Old Dominion Monarchs51c223$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2711946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c185.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.15151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Troy Trojans49c172.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.667450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c168.23$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0711159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52df…2b8bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Troy Trojans48c144.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.592450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c144.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.114955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs54c131.31$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.528750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c127.09$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7316954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Troy Trojans47c124$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2832146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c122.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9717050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Troy Trojans48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.65444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Troy Trojans49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.83043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c118.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5519657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x381d…818cbacked Old Dominion Monarchs54c108.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.121040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Old Dominion Monarchs54c104.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.045950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7723754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…68f6backed Troy Trojans49c102.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4814654.1%79 W · 67 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4415156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c97.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6118656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342075%15 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Troy Trojans49c88.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.194146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Troy Trojans48c84.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.424,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Troy Trojans49c80.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.233348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c80.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.663158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Old Dominion Monarchs54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.817258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Old Dominion Monarchs54c64.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.859543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.26653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c57.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.497447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c57.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.967251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Old Dominion Monarchs54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.567846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Troy Trojans47c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Troy Trojans48c47.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.716136.1%22 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Old Dominion Monarchs54c46.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4919446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c46.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.312341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c44.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1619653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs54c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.487957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.048452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c32.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2611858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Troy Trojans48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7676…aa4ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c30.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.125763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Troy Trojans49c28.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0542751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Troy Trojans49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.728547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x620d…1464backed Old Dominion Monarchs54c27.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5084…40a4backed Troy Trojans49c26.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.962748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs54c22.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4312560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x455b…2d47backed Troy Trojans49c22.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfdc…0133backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.982650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c20.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5812054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Old Dominion Monarchs54c20.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.379257.6%53 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.