Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5a3a215abe179f06296f5aa46d36d49e235809690893b7508a2eeff9caf462e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 65,229$33,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,580.68 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 23,218$11,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,115.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 10,998$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 9,621$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.36 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Under | 54c | 7,396$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 7,110$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.7 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.2 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.87 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Under | 53c | 1,904$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 48c | 1,854$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.08 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 1,745$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.45 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 1,008$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.78 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 659.5$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.31 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 649.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Under | 52c | 570$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 48c | 479.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 417.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 49c | 404.29$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 374.72$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.66 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 350$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Under | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 50c | 299.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 53c | 276.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Over | 47c | 247.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…85a2backed Over | 48c | 194.27$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 172$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 144$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 47c | 62.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Over | 48c | 50.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 49c | 39.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Under | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 50c | 33.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 49c | 28.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…8cb4backed Under | 55c | 28.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Over | 47c | 26.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 52c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 152.5this page
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-7.5)Old Dominion Monarchs won
- Troy Trojans vs. Old Dominion MonarchsTroy Trojans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.