TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints: O/U 134.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$907,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$907,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $907,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c656,049$336,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336,083.8535945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c249,996$122,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,498.29860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under49c199,477$97,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,733.2769142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under48c100,000$48,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,70021262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7c1d…5f40backed Over0c85,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under48c75,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,0009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over51c64,815$33,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,055.4721754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over51c53,175$27,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,119.114454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under48c40,000$19,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,599.9913649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under50c22,222$11,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,11178155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c20,524$10,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,477.325,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c17,759$8,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,089.4912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,949.793756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c12,300$6,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,27310441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under49c11,111$5,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.6113154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c11,003$5,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,628.091,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over53c9,862$5,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,225.173063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over53c9,803$5,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,195.38747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under49c9,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,59074051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c7,000$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,62042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5505843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under47c3,790$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.895143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c3,313$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.964,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under47c3,127$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.230249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Under48c2,062$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.072458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under49c2,020$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.289850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06041752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02028539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9911555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under48c1,311$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Under49c1,301$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.354858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over52c926.58$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.8216954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under49c844.9$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.918650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under48c781.22$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.232850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35755749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under48c635.8$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6221347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over51c614.97$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6432146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30614150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Under48c560.71$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.573053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under49c489.8$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.89551.6%49 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad14…34fdbacked Under49c412.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8025…c036backed Under49c399.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c381.42$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.053,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Over49c358.52$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.675945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under49c346.94$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9449849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1535139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+106.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…d8fdbacked Over52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under49c264.18$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7897447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over52c252.17$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1316755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0e…2d99backed Over53c236.91$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.461216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-66%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under50c222.12$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0641354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over52c215.58$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.829440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3318851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3350546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0817950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10219848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over65c199.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33e4…5632backed Under50c192.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under51c176.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4715748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Over51c123$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.733043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Over53c109.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.94955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Under48c103.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.017234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Over53c102.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.342147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042075%15 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5138645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0319446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over52c89.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6410049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over52c81.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6811159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.629442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c79.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.64,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de6…fdb3backed Over52c74.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.813151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under49c73.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.622853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over53c62.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.967251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over52c61.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.218656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over52c61.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.219657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2217661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6177…a51fbacked Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Over51c56.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.613941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0223754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under49c51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0131666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.534649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54055%22 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under48c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under49c49.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2521059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x27db…e863backed Under49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.98100%8 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Over52c41.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.555950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Over53c37.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.66653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Over52c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.295763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.798547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99ac…238fbacked Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under49c27.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1612054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under49c26.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5310058%58 W · 42 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.