Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8738faee9b0603198cb34aa662a2e0acaa52949ee19fac121ed7d9f044321fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 336,052$174,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174,670.11 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 291,209$139,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,428.58 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 126,663$64,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,774.97 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,999.99 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 51c | 53,472$27,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,201.3 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 49c | 30,530$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,529.66 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 29,955$14,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,576.78 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 14,137$6,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,351.36 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 9,492$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 51c | 2,670$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.3 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.15 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 51c | 1,757$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 854.75$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.47 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 832.08$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 49c | 387.37$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.56 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 50c | 340.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.25 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 49c | 318.37$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 305$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.65 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 206.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Under | 49c | 205.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 50c | 202.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 49c | 147.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 50c | 139.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 52c | 96.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Under | 50c | 77.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…aecfbacked Under | 50c | 66.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under | 50c | 58.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Under | 50c | 58.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Under | 51c | 29.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 49c | 28.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 152.5this page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Iona GaelsIona Gaels won
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-8.5)Iona Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.