Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Iona Gaels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e94fc726b7b7d66e308164ec03a545547e6ad20d8acfcb4fa6181fb729a0d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iona Gaelsof Manhattan Jaspers, Iona Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Manhattan Jaspers | 8c | 1,700$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 26c | 1,010$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Manhattan Jaspers | 10c | 625.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Manhattan Jaspers | 15c | 400.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iona Gaels | 74c | 337.11$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Manhattan Jaspers | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Iona Gaels | 75c | 153.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Manhattan Jaspers | 12c | 129.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iona Gaels | 78c | 128.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 23c | 53.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Iona Gaels | 77c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a71…4f0fbacked Iona Gaels | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…b76bbacked Iona Gaels | 77c | 13.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Iona Gaelsthis page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-8.5)Iona Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.