TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$446,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$454,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed No15c235,606$36,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,368.1211949.6%59 W · 60 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Yes76c79,110$59,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,369.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No20c40,673$8,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,278.477,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No17c22,145$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850.171315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No18c11,687$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.352,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c9,666$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.415,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb39a…2963backed No18c8,812$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No17c8,176$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.351,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab1f…e5bcbacked No18c7,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked No18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No14c5,133$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.591323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No17c3,765$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.999227.2%25 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No18c3,110$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.832733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No18c2,800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes78c1,797$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.512568%17 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No6c1,760$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1783440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9947325.4%120 W · 353 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No17c1,200$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+113.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes77c1,104$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.95457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No2c1,042$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8313330.1%40 W · 93 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No2c1,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.942035%7 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No25c900.57$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No14c900$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1269811.2%11 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Yes78c838.65$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.94355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No18c784.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.649046.9%230 W · 260 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No19c746.57$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.885340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No18c726$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.68911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes73c662.22$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No17c616.35$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.462623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…9c89backed Yes75c578.91$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked Yes76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No14c450$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.367736.4%28 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked No26c443.31$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.29922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes77c420.49$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.022975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No17c408.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6367050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No13c400.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2910737.4%40 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013662.5%85 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes75c346.25$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.561060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed No25c319.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No24c266.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.044829.2%14 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No9c262.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6422542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes77c260.71$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.962268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Yes77c233.62$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.737647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed No13c229.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No10c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6af1…0b91backed Yes74c193.24$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.241770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked No16c187.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No17c177.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1611527%31 W · 84 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No22c176.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.747926.9%129 W · 350 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No18c172.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6318143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No28c166.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.723237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb178…bc3bbacked No15c137.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…642cbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed No19c131.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d3…a973backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes78c128.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.33955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabbf…8a75backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No17c118$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0612456.5%70 W · 54 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbbf…06d3backed Yes77c108.7$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…15d0backed Yes80c103.62$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No13c99.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-62.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x414a…597ebacked No22c89.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed No14c88.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes77c81.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.743860.5%23 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No14c72.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea0…8f49backed Yes77c71.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe208…4e40backed No16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8212…2b8bbacked No18c65.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa862…cd5abacked Yes77c65.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc205…eec2backed Yes72c64.25$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked No25c62.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed No18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No25c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.676555.4%36 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Yes72c34.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.793063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1c…da57backed Yes72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes72c18.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.113145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93b1…16d1backed Yes77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4f…03acbacked Yes76c15.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3703…7639backed Yes76c14.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.