Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x395be77c2c7579c2b15c86e635285d5fe0187fa6d6cf42682adc7078533c7583
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee Volunteersof Alabama Crimson Tide, Tennessee Volunteers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,611,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,791,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,611,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 58c | 1,200,000$701,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498,934.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 566,299$235,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235,068.5 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 303,236$124,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,471.33 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 200,000$85,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,999.99 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 97,807$56,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,579.49 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 59,109$24,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,234.87 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 46,512$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 32,500$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,600 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 30,595$12,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,850 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 13,576$5,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 8,611$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 7,777$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.34 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 7,100$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 4,670$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.8 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 1,805$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.81 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 1,256$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.96 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 1,003$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.2 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 866$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.06 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 613.74$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.76 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Tennessee Volunteers | 58c | 342.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 215.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 194.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 168.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 150.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 87.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Tennessee Volunteers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 65.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 52.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 47.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…3da8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 43.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb2…b59ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 54c | 37.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 36.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 34.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 29.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…dc05backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 29.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 29.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-3.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-6.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Alabama Crimson TideTennessee Volunteers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 166.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.