Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x879bcf8be65daaaca0911ee39c27253639d7715946d7beb11acc5056490c1f01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee Volunteersof Alabama Crimson Tide, Tennessee Volunteers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 55c | 4,007$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 54c | 3,873$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.99 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 2,253$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.86 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 1,753$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.72 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 45c | 1,354$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 1,257$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.85 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 1,024$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 484.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 457.03$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.66 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Tennessee Volunteers | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 121$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…db6bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 38.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 27.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 24.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-5.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-6.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Alabama Crimson TideTennessee Volunteers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 166.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.