South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3420b3289c1de6b18f56e764920c6938070f7f2bf24f0a95a9a5c2c7b2e35f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 26c | 3,840$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.39 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 3,414$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 635.65$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.68 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 73c | 616.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 27c | 607.33$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 29c | 360$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 72c | 137.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 28c | 118.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Over | 44c | 114.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Under | 78c | 113.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 74c | 75.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 21c | 55.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 24.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)Instituto AC Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.