TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$491,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$503,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,762 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over45c384,596$172,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,818.773930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Under55c220,000$121,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under55c100,000$55,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,00025551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c20,122$13,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.686,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under56c18,000$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,92024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under55c14,412$7,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,485.1919253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c9,997$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.7923926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Under42c8,582$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,011.678153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Over58c8,562$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over43c6,127$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.4550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under65c5,469$3,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.242,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under57c4,386$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.9624047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over43c2,385$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.361631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8805949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.8325836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under59c1,995$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.441,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over40c1,575$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.173231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.982236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over41c1,463$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over42c1,071$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over44c1,055$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.230149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under80c1,010$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.424,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under58c1,000$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.4911846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under3c1,000$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbca…9863backed Under58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Under57c860$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over23c858.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Under60c834$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.65064%32 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under58c799.97$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9921656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e99…e794backed Under58c799.95$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over42c796$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2871,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Under60c625$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under56c586.67$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under74c532.78$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.481,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Under66c521.21$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.216553.8%35 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2156857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over20c500$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.426548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Over38c491.03$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.593941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over27c473.13$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Under33c437.63$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.256134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Over26c431.63$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over28c425.38$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.078648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Under67c408.62$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.841580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under76c400.19$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dde…b8f1backed Under57c380$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under58c362$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0421056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa52f…8897backed Over44c340.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+65.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under55c335.89$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.156240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13223258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over33c299.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under57c297.2$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7513054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under60c296.67$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.676852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad08…67a5backed Under57c283.6$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked Under57c268.44$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under58c258.61$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6127748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2290…eddebacked Over42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.32per pick39cpaid-58%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb9…3585backed Over44c225.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under45c210.42$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.986240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7617748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42bc…915bbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over43c188.04$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under56c183.21$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.619749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over14c179.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over12c176.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.559627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Under20c165.65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.527548%36 W · 39 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ce1…19f3backed Under75c148.73$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.251464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under60c139$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5615558.1%90 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over44c131.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…1c3ebacked Under60c125.53$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.532250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e5…e24bbacked Under80c125.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f5…700cbacked Over44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under55c121.31$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.596456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc343…76cbbacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c96…6577backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09c…d04fbacked Over44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x179d…e18bbacked Over45c111.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-85.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2612250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over45c102.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4614551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…ea39backed Over22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+104.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over18c98.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.622244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under58c88.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Under69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.963644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd67b…2394backed Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751650%8 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under56c74.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7716060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c88…d960backed Under59c74$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.345832.8%19 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306659.1%39 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e0f…93cbbacked Under60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.