Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b0dffcdc86ab8c8f7592ec72d8d10b2448c2ce5de7a2ee7ba474be5f9228239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,660$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.24 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 30c | 1,130$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.23 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 4c | 1,115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 4c | 750$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 57c | 700.15$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.48 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…1b7cbacked No | 71c | 683.16$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 47c | 562.28$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 506.7$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.29 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed No | 40c | 499.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.89 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed No | 67c | 439.02$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 76c | 422.47$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked Yes | 25c | 414.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 53c | 391.81$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.75 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 23c | 383.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 30c | 382.26$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 53c | 371.46$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed Yes | 32c | 310.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 9c | 310.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed No | 55c | 309.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 48c | 288.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bb…ec4fbacked Yes | 49c | 286.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked Yes | 48c | 281.11$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 23c | 276.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 73c | 272.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 36c | 271.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…3f67backed Yes | 33c | 263.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…f05bbacked Yes | 27c | 257.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63eb…b247backed Yes | 8c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 248.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 31c | 242.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 48c | 242.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 26c | 233.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 223.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 206.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc129…feacbacked No | 77c | 206.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 206$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 65c | 204.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked No | 58c | 199.65$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 198.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 67c | 196.27$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 68c | 195.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 19c | 192.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 34c | 188.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 32c | 165.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 37c | 163.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…6606backed No | 64c | 163.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed No | 61c | 157.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f86…0b92backed Yes | 31c | 157.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 29c | 156.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed No | 50c | 154.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 68c | 153.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 51c | 152$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 142.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 29c | 141.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 138.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x375d…075dbacked Yes | 10c | 135.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 131.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 33c | 120.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 74c | 118.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed No | 69c | 116.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 26c | 115$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed Yes | 30c | 112.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 37c | 112.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 12c | 111.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 28c | 111.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 27c | 110.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…8aa7backed Yes | 49c | 102.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 70c | 92.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a96…4007backed No | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…c14fbacked No | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 66c | 89.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 46c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 21c | 84.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…84bfbacked No | 69c | 83.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…427abacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 25c | 78.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…3a4ebacked No | 75c | 75.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 70c | 75.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 58c | 74.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 40c | 73.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 53c | 72.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 72c | 71.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed No | 75c | 70.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 70.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…2af7backed Yes | 28c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 52c | 69.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.