Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a55ce9e1eca268fb2d7edd9e2c761637d9af26eeec1e4935eca5f9863e50832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 4c | 733.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 16c | 730.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 4c | 723.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.13 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed Yes | 13c | 663.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.92 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 34c | 608.92$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.37 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bb…ec4fbacked Yes | 35c | 608$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.57 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 592$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 7c | 499.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.33 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 67c | 467.03$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 14c | 417.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.4 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 414.3$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.93 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 18c | 383.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 4c | 376.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 11c | 354.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.36 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 10c | 352.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 12c | 337.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.61 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 20c | 336.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 6c | 320.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 10c | 315.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.81 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 27c | 293.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.31 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 15c | 284.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 283.8$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.89 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 16c | 279.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.91 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 13c | 264$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…1f0abacked Yes | 27c | 261.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 69c | 260$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 40c | 236.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 7c | 212.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 15c | 210$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 68c | 192.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 20c | 188.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked No | 64c | 187.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 10c | 183.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 29c | 173.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 15c | 170.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 10c | 161.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…2087backed No | 10c | 161.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 57c | 155.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 17c | 139.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 136.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 9c | 133$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 8c | 131.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 30c | 125.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 121.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 9c | 115.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 79c | 115$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc18…1341backed Yes | 9c | 114.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 51c | 112.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 11c | 110.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed No | 13c | 107.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…831abacked Yes | 10c | 105.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 65 | 6.2%4 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 13c | 98.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 49c | 85.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 54c | 83.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 56c | 80.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…a71fbacked Yes | 14c | 76.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 71c | 74.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 14c | 74.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 25c | 74.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 68c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 111 | 72.1%80 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 51c | 71.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 17c | 70.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 64c | 69.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 42c | 69.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 69.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…537bbacked Yes | 68c | 63.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…afafbacked Yes | 44c | 60.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 70c | 54.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…4ea8backed Yes | 24c | 53.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 31c | 52.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed Yes | 63c | 48.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…10d1backed Yes | 64c | 41.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 34c | 39.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 36c | 39.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 47c | 36.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…ef1ebacked No | 79c | 34.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…02f5backed Yes | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a64…b0eabacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…90d8backed No | 73c | 30.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked No | 50c | 29.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 38c | 27.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 66c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 59c | 24.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 73c | 23.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 47c | 22.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…f0dbbacked Yes | 54c | 21.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 73c | 21.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 49c | 20.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…10b4backed No | 54c | 20.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 80c | 20.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…5f41backed Yes | 53c | 20.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.