Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95bfac67ca9ff62240093e11c8a0a8b93ea7f62a64b22c0841d41c0af86d58b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 38c | 1,400$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.37 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 514.93$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bb…ec4fbacked Yes | 40c | 500$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.22 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dce…1ae5backed No | 65c | 459.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 60cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 454.08$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 392.32$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 58c | 321.18$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed Yes | 33c | 305.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes | 36c | 295.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 62c | 279.21$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…147abacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 206.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 30c | 194.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 72c | 180.58$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 180$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 61c | 170.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 64c | 163.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 66c | 159.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 157.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 63c | 152$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 151$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…d98cbacked No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…8be2backed Yes | 54c | 149.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 34c | 149.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 69c | 145.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 135.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 66c | 134.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 68c | 132.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 129.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 35c | 125.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 63c | 123.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 64c | 119.37$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 35c | 112.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d5…7227backed Yes | 38c | 111.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 65c | 105$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 49c | 104.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b102backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 33c | 91.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 68c | 89.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…8af7backed Yes | 35c | 86.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked No | 77c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 62c | 82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 65c | 81.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 62c | 75.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 18c | 75.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 62c | 75.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 34c | 73.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…4674backed Yes | 34c | 72.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 57c | 70.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 40c | 67.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 66.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 33c | 66.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 65.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 64c | 63.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 66c | 60.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…cc8abacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 67c | 59.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 22c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 57.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…805fbacked Yes | 35c | 56.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 72c | 55.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed No | 76c | 52.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 52.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…ffebbacked Yes | 24c | 51.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf722…4e1ebacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…b207backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 36c | 48.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0059…808abacked Yes | 36c | 47.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 35c | 47.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74fa…7baabacked Yes | 37c | 46.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b19…bae5backed No | 67c | 44.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 66c | 44.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.