La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d75c580cd41830b14f3a06903a1b9fadb9ae451a55604b5a67df1af989eadc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,495$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.21 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 453.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.41 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 48c | 398.04$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 50c | 396.3$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked No | 68c | 330$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 228.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 32c | 205.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 49c | 204.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835d…e5f4backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 50c | 181.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 49c | 144.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 46c | 108.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 48c | 44.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 49c | 40.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 49c | 34.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 51c | 20.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked No | 56c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 55c | 19.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.