TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under58c37,904$21,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,919.394852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over42c25,141$10,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,581.531,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under58c22,004$12,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,762.349743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over43c11,457$4,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,533.6620253.5%108 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over43c7,433$3,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,236.859748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c6,074$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.844,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9330446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over42c3,700$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,14664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under56c2,680$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.910245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over43c1,404$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.942,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c1,261$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.113,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over44c1,130$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.7935148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Under64c846.02$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.927241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over38c723.97$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.596731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over44c576.57$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.8811736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under56c536.95$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.693847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c495$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.151,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c490.34$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.021,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over64c454.81$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8113070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over39c387.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.23650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over42c384$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7220452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under57c381.2$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.2931745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over43c300$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over62c300$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7512875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Under14c287.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under47c265.01$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4997…4bb6backed Under56c245.57$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.52540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over46c217.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.946861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c212.24$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2422357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over37c198.84$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.781060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Over54c184.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.18850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over41c166.47$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.475950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under56c160$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.824546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Over41c150$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over69c145.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0712650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over22c143.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.583966.7%26 W · 13 L+9.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Over39c141.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.671154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under27c123.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6929946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.82665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-67.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.221626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Over20c99.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under16c97.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3812744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0216865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over43c91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.872065%13 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+49.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8919130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over46c87.89$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2613052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdce3…9d85backed Over29c82.14$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.571145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.22650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.056741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0052…4d9ebacked Over70c65.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.762766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over54c63.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.256575.4%49 W · 16 L+15.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3097…f5bcbacked Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7222450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.729557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over58c51.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.293154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over59c47.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4616446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under57c45.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Over28c44.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbd…475fbacked Under70c42.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Under41c39.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.494843.8%21 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.164461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.096437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under78c32.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528846.5%134 W · 154 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.75072%36 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.722638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42382.6%19 W · 4 L+5.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+52.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x83df…2a73backed Under38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under39c29.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5357252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x268f…92e3backed Over51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under58c28.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.36962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Under56c28.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.691643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over70c27.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.343751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over52c27.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.154062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43d6…a56abacked Under58c26.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over63c25.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5124757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over62c25.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.691384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked Under58c25.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cba…9988backed Over43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Under59c24.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+47%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under60c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.093246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2de5…4a03backed Under57c20.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Under65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310248%49 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92fa…03b3backed Under58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over53c19.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2911855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb776…1760backed Under58c19.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e54…8f4dbacked Under64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.