Bundesliga · resolved market
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ef6ddea33454b84ebed245f856a82481d6b89d3cfcb71dfa5d30b22a1b18fc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 61c | 2,131$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.15 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,907$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.44 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 60c | 1,652$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.84 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked No | 41c | 341.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed No | 9c | 285.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed No | 14c | 285$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 255.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 45c | 245.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 61c | 216.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 61c | 214$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 208.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…25c3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaa…56b2backed Yes | 59c | 170.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 168.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 63c | 158.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 58c | 157.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…cfeebacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 56c | 139$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 39c | 131$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 59c | 83.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 79.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 61c | 55.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 35c | 52.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed No | 40c | 49.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 56c | 46.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Yes | 43c | 28.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 23.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 59c | 21.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed Yes | 61c | 16.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Over won
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.