Serie A · resolved market
SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4d69e6068973a3743aef2f655c11f9cff7a6524f4b28f911d89297ca42f3b41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58e4…7629backed No | 57c | 5,500$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…2bc8backed Yes | 43c | 5,500$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7582…109abacked Yes | 43c | 5,200$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8169…209dbacked No | 57c | 5,200$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…24b6backed Yes | 43c | 4,200$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f35…88c9backed No | 57c | 3,900$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d3…6cf4backed No | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…e7bebacked Yes | 43c | 3,300$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 43c | 1,918$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.87 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,624$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.69 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 1,505$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.67 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 778.29$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.88 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 45c | 513.56$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.1 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 216.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 53c | 200.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 40c | 190.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 42c | 153$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 43c | 92.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Yes | 44c | 90.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 41c | 51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 49c | 50.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Yes | 44c | 47.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 42c | 47.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 39c | 41.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…a219backed Yes | 43c | 39.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed No | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…01e8backed Yes | 60c | 22.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.