TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Laslo Djere vs Stan Wawrinka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wawrinkaof Djere, Wawrinka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,642 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7690…74e1backed Wawrinka52c19,101$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,101.333574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Djere49c11,500$5,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60515048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Djere0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wawrinka60c7,627$4,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.048,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Djere47c6,762$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.1176146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Djere46c6,000$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.133955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Djere47c5,825$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,737.6617823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Djere47c5,081$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.342,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Djere48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9843051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Wawrinka52c4,487$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.8120653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Djere48c4,043$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.5139144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Wawrinka53c3,775$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.1159151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Djere41c3,245$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.5528451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Wawrinka70c3,112$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.931,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Wawrinka54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38014940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Wawrinka53c2,797$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.594957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Djere37c2,674$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.27,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wawrinka48c2,259$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.512,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Djere54c2,173$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.5911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Djere48c2,124$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.791,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Djere48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.998142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Djere49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Djere32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9714343.4%62 W · 81 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Djere62c1,964$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.0544754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Djere47c1,900$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.6678152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Wawrinka60c1,777$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.564153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Djere48c1,706$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8258158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Wawrinka54c1,700$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7827736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Wawrinka51c1,600$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7767040%28 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Djere29c1,598$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2519023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Djere33c1,541$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.482,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Wawrinka52c1,520$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.111843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Wawrinka53c1,509$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.384647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wawrinka51c1,400$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.9927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wawrinka68c1,348$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.016,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Wawrinka53c1,300$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61112147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Djere29c1,286$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.082,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Wawrinka52c1,142$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.547639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Wawrinka53c1,089$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Wawrinka53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4703669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wawrinka57c914.37$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.552,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Djere21c900.29$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.111,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Djere49c841$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.099242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Djere27c830.85$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.751,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Djere48c819.08$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.161,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Djere31c655.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7e0…d457backed Djere19c642.29$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked Wawrinka51c628.08$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.762133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Djere47c570.98$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5627836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Djere24c566.92$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3612949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Djere41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Djere38c443.97$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7112631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Wawrinka53c439.62$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.622958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wawrinka72c419$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.084,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Djere38c399.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Djere50c391.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.93737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Wawrinka53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.365160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7800…6ddbbacked Wawrinka53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Wawrinka53c357.06$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.821,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Djere46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Djere43c320$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Djere41c319.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.61844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabfe…70d3backed Djere48c313$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Wawrinka51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.95343.4%23 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee7…fdf6backed Wawrinka65c254.3$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.021040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Wawrinka54c252.35$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1437339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Djere41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Wawrinka53c230.15$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1740141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Djere47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.416146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Wawrinka50c213.93$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8322236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wawrinka73c196.79$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8888455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Djere17c194.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3328322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Wawrinka53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6828444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Wawrinka53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6811454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Djere19c188$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.851,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0d…2bf7backed Djere49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Djere55c181.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdc…c974backed Djere56c180.36$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a4…3fd8backed Djere14c159.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Wawrinka64c157.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3833256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bef…b4dabacked Wawrinka55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Djere41c146.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Wawrinka64c142.1$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1626158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed Wawrinka51c140$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Wawrinka51c136.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1218863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fb…f935backed Wawrinka52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.626055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Wawrinka56c119.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5811553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Djere20c118.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5911122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1e07…6a8ebacked Wawrinka53c116.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.989144%40 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Djere27c110.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Wawrinka67c108.4$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7773350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Wawrinka52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7716158.4%94 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Djere47c101.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.651,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Djere22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.749632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Wawrinka62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Wawrinka51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.048964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Wawrinka52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153871.1%27 W · 11 L+7.1wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x739a…67adbacked Wawrinka52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…5bc2backed Wawrinka52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.084245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Wawrinka52c95.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.862,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.