Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db9ad730bdc3d6f1ca513016aa65cef0b85150e833fc3dac260a4fd72a56a4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 6,875$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 78c | 1,555$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.1 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 79c | 1,311$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.89 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 1,211$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 46c | 999.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 36c | 966.51$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.51 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 912.67$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 20c | 799.75$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 649.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.01 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 22c | 599.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 22c | 425.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 380.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.30per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 372.56$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 49c | 296$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 65c | 269.94$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 78c | 254.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked Over | 76c | 204.12$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 201.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 69c | 199.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 58c | 168.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Over | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 62c | 144.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Over | 68c | 112.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…27fbbacked Over | 78c | 88.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 81.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 78.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…1596backed Over | 78c | 73.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Over | 78c | 68.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Over | 61c | 66.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Under | 49c | 50.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…3043backed Over | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abe…61debacked Over | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 62c | 32.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 27.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 39c | 26.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 78c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 77c | 20.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed Under | 53c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.