Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96de365ecd723846caad09762e0c1cb78f8f9b5302eeb1306ab85f68bf9cbacf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,853$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,554$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,068$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.78 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 47c | 406.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 7c | 301.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 57c | 293.12$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 269$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 51c | 260.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.67 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 47c | 213.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 199.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 45c | 166.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 62c | 162.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 46c | 160.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 47c | 106.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed Yes | 46c | 103.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 47c | 85.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 57c | 84.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…3d22backed Yes | 46c | 64.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Yes | 47c | 53.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 39c | 49.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 55c | 49.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 46.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 43c | 32.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 37c | 32.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Yes | 47c | 31.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 62c | 30.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 43c | 27.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 59c | 17.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.