Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb785c2443ece0a46c515936d725de497e7c6fa01cf5ab7d2a2c8a26d05be926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 1,120$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 828.96$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.12 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 31c | 799.83$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.9 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 43c | 767.31$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.37 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 537.14$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 52c | 471.85$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.86 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 30c | 342$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 53c | 267.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 45c | 232.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes | 80c | 231.75$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked No | 47c | 187.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 34c | 160.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 79c | 158.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 71c | 155.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…aee3backed Yes | 73c | 145$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…18e8backed Yes | 42c | 141$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 31c | 120.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 100.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 58c | 98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…4bc5backed Yes | 67c | 85.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 70.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 22c | 60.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…c578backed No | 73c | 30.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…39fdbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 61c | 20.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela vs. SC Braga end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.