World Politics · resolved market
Will the Alliance for a Great Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53ac581b942425966a4bbd97aed74443a66de1c9cf9fe32e69708d56002949b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 2c | 12,918$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.31 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 2c | 10,323$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1904…5a23backed Yes | 1c | 10,183$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ca…08d1backed Yes | 2c | 6,356$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 5,979$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d19…37debacked Yes | 2c | 5,785$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…376abacked Yes | 2c | 4,423$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 2c | 3,988$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…3c5cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,807$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb310…b329backed Yes | 1c | 3,202$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6874…37febacked Yes | 2c | 2,648$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8620…a513backed Yes | 1c | 1,833$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1a…b812backed Yes | 1c | 1,595$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 2c | 1,399$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f27…11d0backed Yes | 1c | 1,362$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dab…1133backed Yes | 3c | 1,267$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c3…2faabacked Yes | 2c | 1,105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 1c | 1,049$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c50…5a8abacked Yes | 1c | 872.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…f486backed Yes | 2c | 851.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 799.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…ef9dbacked Yes | 2c | 793.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…fe4dbacked Yes | 3c | 704$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 686.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…465bbacked Yes | 2c | 665.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…e517backed Yes | 2c | 654.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…9c68backed Yes | 3c | 624$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…b162backed Yes | 2c | 601.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aad…a94dbacked Yes | 3c | 584.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…c8b2backed Yes | 3c | 565.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…911dbacked Yes | 2c | 561.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab9…8a6ebacked Yes | 2c | 535.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…776ebacked Yes | 2c | 520.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…76e1backed Yes | 2c | 503.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…bbb9backed Yes | 2c | 492.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…0673backed Yes | 2c | 491.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a98…13cabacked Yes | 3c | 467.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…f9f8backed Yes | 2c | 464.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…8e6dbacked Yes | 3c | 429.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…8563backed Yes | 3c | 416.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…3c32backed Yes | 2c | 409.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…f7eabacked Yes | 3c | 408.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…4961backed Yes | 3c | 363.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4312…2b98backed Yes | 3c | 360.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…45bebacked Yes | 3c | 313.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f73…e8a6backed Yes | 24c | 249.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Alliance for a Great Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?this page
- Will another party win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Albania Becomes Initiative Coalition win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Euroatlantic Coalition win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Movement Together win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Opportunity Party win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Right for Development Coalition win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Social Democratic Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.