World Politics · resolved market
Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb2a8ec2c41503345207a155724a3d19478fb4c187c1adac000d9af91dc3ae64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 12,309$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f73…e8a6backed No | 2c | 8,898$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e6…7e09backed No | 2c | 5,949$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 2c | 5,357$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…3477backed No | 2c | 5,308$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 2c | 4,691$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8620…a513backed No | 1c | 3,098$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 1c | 3,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…83c0backed No | 1c | 2,502$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 3c | 2,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 1c | 1,451$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 197 | 22.8%45 W · 152 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…aa5abacked No | 2c | 1,125$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…5c9abacked No | 3c | 704.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…f2ecbacked No | 4c | 641.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…2bd1backed No | 3c | 574.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…3f3fbacked No | 2c | 530$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed No | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030b…4035backed No | 3c | 496.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…f1e5backed No | 3c | 467.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bab…9d94backed No | 3c | 466.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa1…3240backed No | 3c | 463.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…7f1abacked No | 3c | 461.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…a10abacked No | 3c | 443$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 2c | 418.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…2976backed No | 3c | 413.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a98…13cabacked No | 3c | 390.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…2d38backed No | 3c | 387.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…e2ccbacked No | 3c | 385.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…ef06backed No | 3c | 384.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…c772backed No | 3c | 372.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…1ef6backed No | 4c | 367.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…78b3backed No | 3c | 364.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea8…ffedbacked No | 3c | 363.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…0af6backed No | 3c | 362.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…66e6backed No | 3c | 354.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bf…5b91backed No | 3c | 351.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…56efbacked No | 3c | 347.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5786…c49dbacked No | 3c | 345.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…c51fbacked No | 4c | 333.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…6545backed No | 3c | 320.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…39b7backed No | 4c | 288.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd593…4374backed No | 4c | 269.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b15…4f59backed No | 4c | 255.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…5d1fbacked No | 5c | 219.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?this page
- Will another party win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Albania Becomes Initiative Coalition win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Alliance for a Great Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Euroatlantic Coalition win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Movement Together win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Opportunity Party win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Right for Development Coalition win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
- Will the Social Democratic Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.