Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab96765a863bdc1133bb75953b9c4cd73760adbfe3e502029fbcf9586ce7f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 10,036$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,327.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 74c | 8,288$6,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,133.12 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,636$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.4 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 69c | 1,185$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.47 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Under | 5c | 902.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 38c | 743.79$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.94 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 32c | 737.5$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 31c | 599.92$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.94 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 580.05$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 30c | 537.6$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.32 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 70c | 518.78$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.15 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 39c | 376.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.96 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 331$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 63c | 306.46$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 292.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 38c | 263.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 223.17$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 61c | 204$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 30c | 188.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 59c | 177.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 48c | 160$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…7387backed Over | 35c | 155.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 73c | 108.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 68c | 100.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed Over | 30c | 84.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…a4e3backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 66c | 76.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 72.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…8efbbacked Under | 61c | 68.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Over | 68c | 64.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 33c | 64.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 68c | 63.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…85efbacked Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 26c | 59.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 71c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 27c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Under | 72c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 40.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 66c | 30.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…0528backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Over | 47c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…9d15backed Under | 80c | 20.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Under | 72c | 18.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…2e92backed Under | 67c | 18.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 70c | 15.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…bd8cbacked Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.