Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63b6cab3a0c334d1803589059c55773714173033082f4a6b54bd1f7ca9af6c4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $333,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 51c | 199,011$101,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,516.46 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 178,531$86,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,786.05 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 52c | 76,863$39,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,894.46 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 40,000$19,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,450 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 29,475$14,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,173.14 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 12,157$5,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,928.2 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 5,354$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.88 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 39c | 4,866$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.31 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 4,438$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.51 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 47c | 3,961$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.67 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 2,769$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.96 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.21 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 1,414$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.64 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 75c | 1,127$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Over | 51c | 979.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 51c | 977.31$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.26 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 52c | 830.34$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.46 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 49c | 750.33$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.67 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 75c | 519.07$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 511.32$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 51c | 479.94$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.94 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Over | 48c | 380$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 376.88$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 49c | 341.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 52c | 332.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 51c | 257.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 76c | 239.91$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Over | 48c | 235.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 50c | 229.69$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 226$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 49c | 205.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 50c | 200.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 52c | 193.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 55c | 188.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 187.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 30c | 186$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dd…3139backed Over | 55c | 181.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…1400backed Over | 48c | 168.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 50c | 161$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 49c | 157.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Over | 51c | 126.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 51c | 125.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Over | 50c | 112.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…1baebacked Under | 50c | 109.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7031backed Over | 76c | 95.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Under | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 67c | 88.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 50c | 85.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 82.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Over | 52c | 74.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 52c | 73.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 30c | 67.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…1578backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 53c | 64.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 48c | 61.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…60cbbacked Over | 77c | 60.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…becebacked Under | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…b7d7backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…205bbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 48c | 46.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -12.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 51c | 45.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.