Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf682c5fc594c305271aa4188dca715d6f7f1b5fa8ba3476cb6dbc72abcd678f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 7c | 2,099$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 1,304$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.01 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Yes | 55c | 1,001$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 49c | 882.81$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 45c | 710.4$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.26 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 458$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 47c | 393.21$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.38 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 76c | 390.79$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 47c | 221.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 46c | 209.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 203.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…5f1cbacked No | 52c | 189$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…6c98backed No | 49c | 186.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 76c | 158.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 76c | 121.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 47c | 89.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 32c | 57.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Yes | 53c | 47.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 22c | 46.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 52c | 41.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced5…71c2backed Yes | 76c | 34.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…4d4cbacked Yes | 54c | 34.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…70a1backed No | 49c | 30.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 28.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Yes | 54c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…f1d4backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.