Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xead7cf337ead73af9c76917408e9da72f0350c1485b0097a108f8b380a8ca08e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 22c | 3,584$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.16 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 77c | 2,597$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.35 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 78c | 2,305$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.2 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 1,463$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.04 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Under | 10c | 1,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 1,043$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.77 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 6c | 992.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 76c | 947$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.28 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 24c | 799.92$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 75c | 765.87$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 22c | 622.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 24c | 202$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 75c | 168$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…405fbacked Over | 75c | 165$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…c074backed Over | 76c | 159.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked Over | 76c | 144.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 21c | 126.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1050…aa88backed Under | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c1…be25backed Under | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed Over | 76c | 58.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 79c | 48.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Under | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Under | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…6784backed Over | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed Over | 76c | 44.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Under | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Under | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Under | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…51ecbacked Over | 77c | 27.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 76c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cd…5285backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.