TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,338 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c18,290$11,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,463.153,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.987062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under73c4,588$3,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.242871.4%20 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under63c3,400$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.1456547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8906459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over39c2,412$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.093452.9%18 W · 16 L+7.6wins+0.22per pick31cpaid+85.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c2,191$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.982,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under62c2,007$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.791,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over38c1,518$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.198336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over28c1,079$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.0321041.9%88 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe955…3b03backed Over37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over37c800$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5048764.4%56 W · 31 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over39c709.5$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.878248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over26c678.59$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.017722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over37c635.14$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.141020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over38c599.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.995052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under66c571.53$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.8449143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over38c499.83$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.8922747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over28c477.08$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.6418545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over30c461.06$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.056761.2%41 W · 26 L+13.8wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over33c428.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.435853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over71c422.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.683240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over37c420$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.622854.8%125 W · 103 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over37c420$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.68864.8%57 W · 31 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c404.41$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.511,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2608846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24033340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25224258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over37c380.39$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6415454.5%84 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over37c330$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.913957.6%80 W · 59 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over37c330$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.914355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over37c320$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.612162.8%76 W · 45 L+15.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over37c307.39$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6538748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1898461.9%52 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18911860.2%71 W · 47 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over37c289.94$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6635856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over70c285.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7614260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.275944.1%26 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under63c262.26$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1918746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over40c210$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.922829.4%67 W · 161 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c193.63$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.551,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Over64c189.9$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.491020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-70.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over54c186.13$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.362958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over38c180$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.499846.9%46 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over37c170$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.111458.8%67 W · 47 L+10.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over37c170$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.113859.4%82 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over37c170$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.112458.9%73 W · 51 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over37c160$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.811563.5%73 W · 42 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over39c153.84$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8437344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over47c138.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2210552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under62c132.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.568253.7%44 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over38c130$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.617055.3%94 W · 76 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over37c120$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.612259%72 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over37c120$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.612657.9%73 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over37c120$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.613254.5%72 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over37c120$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.69159.3%54 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.118056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over41c100.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.072748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635957.6%34 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632568%17 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over39c86.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6144749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over37c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over37c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.47057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under62c78.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.018852.3%46 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under41c75.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.541637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed Under63c71.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over38c71.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.16955.1%38 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over62c70.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5712069.2%83 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over37c70$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.111661.2%71 W · 45 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbea…e77bbacked Under58c69.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.811360.2%68 W · 45 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.85461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.86464.1%41 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.85757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick27cpaid-75.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.811063.6%70 W · 40 L+13.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.89861.2%60 W · 38 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over42c55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9511955.5%66 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over69c54.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.018158%47 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed Under48c53.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.921010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-84.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2810552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.288844.3%39 W · 49 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Over39c50.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.945166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x936b…c603backed Over23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+76.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06da…0a4abacked Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.784440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d92…2e20backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Over37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.28251.2%42 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Under65c39.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.841546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over38c38.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.585433.3%18 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over37c37.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.846439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over70c37.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1416750.9%85 W · 82 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb438…1653backed Under74c31.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over36c29.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0339558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4d9…90b2backed Under50c28.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over44c27.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.311353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under63c26.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.862650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d1…4216backed Over40c26.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over39c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8614942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.