TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c14,384$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,019.863,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.987062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under42c7,411$3,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,112.6210154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under42c6,049$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.5817251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0004963.3%31 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under40c4,652$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.0678248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.996459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c2,611$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.061,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Over59c2,260$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.62875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over58c1,711$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.086448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over59c1,694$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.5438748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c1,325$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.731,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over60c1,110$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4443458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46256547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Over50c999.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c989.73$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.292,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over60c900$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3605068%34 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over60c860$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3442871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over61c856.05$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8638055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.461020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over58c799.99$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3368764.4%56 W · 31 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under41c777.02$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.4251136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under40c722.13$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4535856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28022747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under40c650$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under40c614.15$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6322829.4%67 W · 161 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2465052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c532.58$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.981,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2058251.2%42 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over73c500$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.032263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+95.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over61c491.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.693847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over77c454.72$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.726366.7%42 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over58c420$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.422854.8%125 W · 103 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over58c420$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.415454.5%84 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over58c420$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.48864.8%57 W · 31 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under39c409$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.517722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15233340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16824258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df0…7eb8backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over59c350$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.510057%57 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over58c330$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.614355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over58c330$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.613957.6%80 W · 59 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over58c319.97$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3912162.8%76 W · 45 L+15.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1268461.9%52 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12615453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12010552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12611860.2%71 W · 47 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.99062.2%56 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2269…6304backed Over61c181.97$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.975166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over51c181$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6321041.9%88 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.411458.8%67 W · 47 L+10.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.413859.4%82 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.412458.9%73 W · 51 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c169$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5818545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.211563.5%73 W · 42 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Under42c158.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.54254.8%23 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over59c142.16$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.042060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over75c141.77$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.442958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over59c139.37$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.141643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over60c133.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0613073.1%95 W · 35 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over61c129.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.421376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.412259%72 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.412657.9%73 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.62661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.413254.5%72 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.49159.3%54 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c112.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9634655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over60c111$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.689846.9%46 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425957.6%34 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc400…7c6bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422568%17 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.83839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under42c97.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.082254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over61c97.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0537344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.346851.5%35 W · 33 L+10.9wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under39c88.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354650%23 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over51c88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1212832%41 W · 87 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under41c82.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0618746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.976063.3%38 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3592…c81abacked Over62c80.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.971566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.67057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over65c79.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.71353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Over76c78.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.831580%12 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+64.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9211943.7%52 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under42c74.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.411661.2%71 W · 45 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under38c67.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.599838.8%38 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d0b…be09backed Over60c66.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.