TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c11,263$7,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,816.741,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over29c10,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,099.9913151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under71c9,856$6,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,997.9126645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under77c5,388$4,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,148.761369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under78c1,371$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.382475%18 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over29c800$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56814447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over30c769$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.36253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under70c740.31$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.222045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Under70c535.33$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.731338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3505646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3509445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33023947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under70c483.33$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.359741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under70c471.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3920644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over29c450$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.538356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over29c450$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.516753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over29c449.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.4921354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28415657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over29c360$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.617855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over29c350$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f06…9c0abacked Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.335543.6%24 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.58150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d0…e72ebacked Over76c304.6$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21312748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21328357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21313552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc60f…9ea3backed Under65c292$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Over57c236.9$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+80%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under71c232.09$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7813149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over67c222$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1428454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1222748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14218754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over29c190$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.913252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over29c180$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.810650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over29c170$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.711548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over29c170$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.713352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over29c170$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.714352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over29c170$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.710949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over29c170$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.711449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over29c170$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.713548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over29c170$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.713751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over29c170$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.716251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.676841.2%28 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over54c162$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5238343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over29c160$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.615651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under66c150.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.518350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Under68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.514247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under21c147$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under66c142.09$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over29c131.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over33c122.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0815236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.211747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.210753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.211648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.212652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.211650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.211350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.211850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over29c108.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3342438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…14e8backed Under19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Over29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.453644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under65c103$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.954047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7111947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over28c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.54852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over73c84.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.171,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under21c83.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7420042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over29c80$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.811652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over29c80$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.88850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over31c78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8529350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.713853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.673444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.611548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.613248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.611952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.611949.6%59 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.612149.6%60 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.611449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.611452.6%60 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.615153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.612249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.611452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.613151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over23c59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4343427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over30c39.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under41c37.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4833851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.28252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2510947.7%52 W · 57 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under70c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.938043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under71c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.752630.8%8 W · 18 L-8.2wins-0.32per pick62cpaid-50.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.