TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked Under49c14,682$7,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,194.213237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9813151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c9,095$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,343.471,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over54c3,000$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.985745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…e4c8backed Over52c2,633$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Over52c2,096$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under48c1,253$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.562045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,253$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.0934342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under49c1,185$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.891957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under47c1,109$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.5938043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8821938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.543246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c867.94$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.6159741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2dc…3f6abacked Over55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3605855.2%32 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39214447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Over55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c568$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6420644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under46c566$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.329350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over54c556.98$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.212236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over52c499.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.999445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over51c450$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.538356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over51c450$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.516753.3%89 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over52c450$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2163560%21 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c423.4$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9233851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1924843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19644955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19615657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6213234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over51c350$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c316$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14712748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14728357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14713552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over51c280.01$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.25151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under45c280$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12613453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over51c251.96$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4621354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed Under50c237.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1898…e74abacked Over53c214.44$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9818754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under13c196.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.820042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315543.6%24 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over51c190.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.558454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over51c190$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.113252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c189.52$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6242438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.210650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.311548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.313352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.314352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.310949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.311449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.313548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.316251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.415651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Over52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.853030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.518350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.514247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…965cbacked Over52c146.15$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under49c146.1$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5913149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Under47c140.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c132.46$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.939746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over75c126.49$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.591,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.811747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.810753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.811648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.812652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.811650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.811350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.811850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4911947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e30…db95backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…1685backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee3…9842backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c97.34$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5239743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over51c95.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6217855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Over55c94.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.566952.2%36 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592969%20 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under45c81.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.614047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.211652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.28850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a88…832dbacked Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over65c77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2714642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.922552%13 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over53c74.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.833050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.313853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Under16c62.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.411548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.413248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.411952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.