La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x267d8e493b43cbea6ac279cc155f170c8611e05b34503b8b95e79c8b2a4a9424
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 69c | 102,918$71,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,767.85 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 30c | 60,913$18,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,576.8 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 17,675$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.08 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 33c | 8,206$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.15 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 31c | 7,094$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.26 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 6,722$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 31c | 4,233$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.77 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Under | 34c | 1,917$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 3c | 1,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…d291backed Over | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Over | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Under | 34c | 859.21$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Under | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 66c | 513$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.42 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…5d27backed Over | 55c | 291.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 67c | 203.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Under | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Over | 68c | 181.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 68c | 177.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 65c | 163.78$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 32c | 152.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 13c | 137.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 67c | 130$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 34c | 121.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 14c | 96.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 34c | 92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 34c | 76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…9587backed Over | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…7364backed Over | 68c | 69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 34c | 61.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 71c | 58.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…dcdebacked Under | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 63c | 35.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38c…dc46backed Under | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Over | 67c | 30.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 66c | 29.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Over | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 22.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 73c | 22.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed Over | 67c | 21.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 74c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.