La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fdb659a5daf8b6b43533196ebe3b71891391d5481445d1447c0fa56e526670b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RCD Mallorcaof Valencia CF, RCD Mallorca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valencia CF | 20c | 6,672$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.36 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Valencia CF | 18c | 4,517$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.37 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Valencia CF | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Valencia CF | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…8259backed Valencia CF | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Valencia CF | 23c | 323.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed RCD Mallorca | 78c | 312$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valencia CF | 10c | 225$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed RCD Mallorca | 79c | 210.07$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked RCD Mallorca | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Valencia CF | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Valencia CF | 21c | 150.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Valencia CF | 23c | 143.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked RCD Mallorca | 78c | 138$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked RCD Mallorca | 78c | 81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed RCD Mallorca | 77c | 72.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Valencia CF | 16c | 71.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Valencia CF | 21c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed RCD Mallorca | 78c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Valencia CF | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked RCD Mallorca | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…59fabacked RCD Mallorca | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed RCD Mallorca | 78c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)this page
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.