TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x021a…56cbbacked Over57c5,395$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dd…171dbacked Under76c5,005$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.391776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under32c2,339$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.9330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c2,170$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.064,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under72c1,832$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.313151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.349564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over39c1,477$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.955151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over62c985.73$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c941.84$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.553,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c939.77$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.931,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under61c882.05$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under60c867.97$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.196141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under66c748.48$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.483756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under62c642$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.962944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over40c627.28$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.914344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Over56c512.16$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Under63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1911149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked Under60c450$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under50c400.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.013860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over38c335.03$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3123452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over40c324$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.68236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over31c295.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Under61c295.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.088254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe38…f858backed Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over38c262.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.942941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.55058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.524052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Under62c245.97$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under50c244.12$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7229946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab0f…bde4backed Over45c221.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over59c213.71$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12722366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over51c204.25$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Under61c202.31$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.91414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.6wins-0.40per pick55cpaid-73.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Over37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7440%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a7…eb44backed Over47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under15c199.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.992015%3 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under59c177.36$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a1…97e6backed Under62c171.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under60c171$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.435148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over37c164.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over49c158.06$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4511140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over40c143.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.478732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c143.41$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4162258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under29c141.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2828846.5%134 W · 154 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c140.87$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.251,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over49c137.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.469966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042a…7f4cbacked Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+63.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under61c132$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.484254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over66c128.82$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7068…c63bbacked Under61c114$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over50c105.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9419258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over40c101.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0725248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under61c101$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.391866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over39c84.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d14…261dbacked Under62c81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.781346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89fc…0bdfbacked Over41c69.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under15c68.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.552810.7%3 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x265c…a122backed Under75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d8…0074backed Over40c59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over69c58.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over40c57.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.895650%28 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…073cbacked Over40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Under67c50.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.757255.6%40 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd99e…b859backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1816446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over62c48.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…aa68backed Under60c33.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.755154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Under61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.595149%25 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe34…9881backed Under76c22.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Under61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d2a…8a7bbacked Under60c17.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.