TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under55c47,462$26,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,196.436566.2%43 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c41,361$20,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,680.310438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c7,616$3,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,812.6669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c6,471$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,772.071,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under64c5,093$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.531478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over15c4,999$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.92227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Over43c3,000$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.293345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Over60c2,742$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over53c1,500$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79323255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over45c1,232$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.3623452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under53c1,192$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.210245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under42c833.49$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.423053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c726.3$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.663,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over45c642$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.910329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over47c630$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9715851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over61c589.87$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.862055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over18c562.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Under55c486.56$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over36c458.42$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c426.6$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.474,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.827652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.831751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.821849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over61c408.88$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c361.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c340.17$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over49c331.03$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16319544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over44c330$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.217648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over44c330$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.214244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over36c329.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.251233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13229053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13218152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under53c299.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14111947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c249.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.181,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under54c239.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.227250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5048…4b29backed Over47c234.34$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Over36c220$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.52437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c219.85$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.032,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under55c216.77$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.653246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over43c210.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c203.75$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.81,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8814950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over44c190$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.611448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.216151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.29649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.87951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.820652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.811952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.87045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.89945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.811346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Over54c158.62$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over46c153$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3835148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6619652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6619951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over23c146$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0913052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under72c139.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.533050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over45c138$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9615246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Under75c132.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under53c130.19$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over12c120.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.992330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.89247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.821051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.818853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.810351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.819053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.89343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.815747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over45c100.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520845.2%94 W · 114 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4419153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4616142.2%68 W · 93 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78ae…2797backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5449…5659backed Under54c91.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.25232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under63c89.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0957252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d1…e5b5backed Under69c86.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.473100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over48c83.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.