La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75637c78682f41afacf37f62b403f1015bbd1e5bfe88994fa56df69dd6bcfefa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 22c | 50,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 78c | 44,614$34,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,815.13 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 79c | 7,742$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.22 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Under | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 4,968$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.23 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 5c | 1,800$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 11c | 713.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 22c | 657.09$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 571.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 75c | 556.16$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.23 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 5c | 372.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 20c | 314.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…6b1abacked Over | 23c | 213.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 13c | 110.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 20c | 104.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 19c | 104.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 19c | 78.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 21c | 70.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 79c | 53.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 24c | 41.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 76c | 39.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Under | 77c | 39.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 75c | 39.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 75c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…511ebacked Under | 78c | 21.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Under | 79c | 12.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.