Other European Leagues · resolved market
Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x507446d4d6593dc07039ee044a8952800ce946e7cf06dd3df995adb87880c8a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 72c | 5,499$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.72 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 3,891$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 37c | 1,850$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 74c | 1,815$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.86 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 37c | 1,149$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 951.24$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 27c | 853.7$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.44 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 11c | 524.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…a815backed Over | 37c | 311.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 65c | 299.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 35c | 174.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 36c | 95.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 44.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 63c | 42.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 39.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…58a9backed Under | 68c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 63c | 23.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 57c | 22.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 66c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed Under | 66c | 15.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 3.5this page
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.