Other European Leagues · resolved market
Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bbfd8909ea3afebbf6d307ab48138008bcafbcf3ed17ea793a96163862af83a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 1,165$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 835.94$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 26c | 500$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 62c | 430.51$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 29c | 384.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +9.5wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 32c | 316.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 38c | 262.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 37c | 232.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 43c | 164.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 40c | 109.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 57c | 59.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…fdcdbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…6438backed Yes | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 63c | 16.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.