Other European Leagues · resolved market
Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb1c7e004894b5cc69e6807b05ffaae4be7165d1a781da02607a7e208d3ce886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 57,355$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 2,966$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.47 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 32c | 1,376$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.62 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 46c | 1,253$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 50c | 794.52$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.26 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 10c | 500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Over | 11c | 347.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 321.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.13 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 39c | 299.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.62 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 32c | 284.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Under | 77c | 239.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…d15ebacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 57c | 226.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Over | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 56c | 197$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 56c | 178.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 58c | 168.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 63c | 159.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 58c | 151.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 110.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 58c | 102.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 59c | 97.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 58c | 93.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Over | 58c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 62c | 52.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 58c | 51.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 52c | 47.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…b42bbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 30.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 39c | 30.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61da…dc20backed Over | 58c | 17.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 2.5this page
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.