Other European Leagues · resolved market
Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1f6b422481ff6f1c21bec7592bd3d8374c02c0e83cbee2e240400693b8fee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 6,912$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,844$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.96 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 1,523$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.62 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 45c | 999.27$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 951.8$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.42 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 22c | 793.24$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.33 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 46c | 609.65$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.44 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 18c | 608.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.95 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a62bbacked Over | 54c | 546$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 39c | 512$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +9.5wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 25c | 500$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 80c | 457.39$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 64cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…896ebacked Under | 80c | 385.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 358.21$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 11c | 318.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 41c | 316.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Under | 65c | 301$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 47c | 300.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Over | 46c | 284.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Over | 70c | 266.45$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 230.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 18c | 226.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.73 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 57c | 217.45$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 153.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 35c | 145.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Over | 16c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 18c | 113.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 105.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 37c | 103.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 46c | 87.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 28c | 80.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x254e…1c40backed Over | 25c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 17c | 66.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 75c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…6fd6backed Over | 47c | 52.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 31c | 52.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…00eabacked Over | 71c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 41.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 68c | 32.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 42c | 31.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 63c | 29.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…4492backed Under | 56c | 26.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 56c | 24.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over | 62c | 16.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 1.5this page
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Under won
- Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.