Premier League · resolved market
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5bbda3f6c3400585440622e8d52c4900dffb13e59bbf6ec0bb0d361e7485c96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 7,567$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,977.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 79c | 7,200$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,688 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 79c | 2,822$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.38 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 17c | 1,250$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.01 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 28c | 500$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.61 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 414.71$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.42 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 25c | 410$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.56 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 45c | 199.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 142.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 73c | 124.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 44c | 114.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 21c | 63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…4675backed Over | 45c | 44.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 44c | 36.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 73c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5this page
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.