Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d591d8b621da662031cad65c2822ea6cd5ebddd7b5fa11af7dd6a9efb39ed8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 74c | 7,088$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…d4a4backed Over | 41c | 5,850$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbeb…9c89backed Over | 41c | 5,800$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c40…f2babacked Under | 59c | 5,200$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…1caabacked Over | 41c | 5,050$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…f183backed Over | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Over | 37c | 4,809$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd2…3a16backed Under | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…e8febacked Under | 59c | 4,256$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…dc81backed Under | 59c | 4,100$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…0aa8backed Under | 59c | 4,050$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…676dbacked Under | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…8affbacked Under | 59c | 3,900$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 3,892$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…db34backed Under | 59c | 3,750$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…1acebacked Over | 41c | 3,400$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e9…8476backed Over | 41c | 3,350$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…f032backed Over | 41c | 2,850$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 37c | 2,671$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…2e61backed Over | 41c | 2,456$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 29c | 1,248$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.04 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 61c | 1,190$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.06 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 58c | 861.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 27c | 775.57$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.54 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 263.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 38c | 255.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 42c | 251.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 245.09$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…c800backed Over | 40c | 188.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…57c9backed Over | 39c | 166.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 142.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 38c | 118.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 98.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 40c | 48.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 61c | 29.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 60c | 26.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Under | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.