Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f9bff31e025a0aa125ad21307a8caa424c7522dab8be82ed3915d7ffca7bebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf99f…748abacked No | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 46cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…5f0abacked Yes | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf1…b407backed No | 57c | 1,612$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,271$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.32 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 58c | 869.92$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 42c | 508$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 462.83$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 42c | 381$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 22c | 286.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 42c | 129.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed No | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 60c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 56.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 41c | 44.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 42c | 28.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Yes | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…9a92backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d57…9730backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.