Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44725d00aabd07850b36106e6ee3cced78c54a1cb255d17c2eef5437aa63f521
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 2,943$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.66 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,595$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.49 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 60c | 2,400$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 62c | 1,936$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.23 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…2e61backed Under | 36c | 1,650$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e9…8476backed Over | 64c | 1,650$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 62c | 1,444$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 1,330$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.26 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Over | 62c | 640.14$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 16c | 625$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 60c | 621.3$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 65c | 586$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.7 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 37c | 561.7$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.31 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 28c | 496$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 65c | 468.82$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Under | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 61c | 291.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 43c | 272.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 62c | 219.95$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 19c | 202$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 62c | 182.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 38c | 159.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 40c | 159.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 62c | 159.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 36c | 147$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 24c | 139.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 129.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 17c | 125$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 37c | 118.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 40c | 111.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 41c | 103.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 61c | 94.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 30c | 72.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 39c | 68.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 39c | 60.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 48c | 40.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Under | 39c | 30.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 61c | 28.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 63c | 28.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 63c | 28.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 62c | 26.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.